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7.246  Articles
1 of 726 pages  |  10  records  |  more records»
This paper investigates what are the main components of consumer’s inflation expectations. We combine the FGV’s Consumer Survey with the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) indices on inflation (IPCA and regulated prices), the... see more

Inflation expectations play a critical role in the formation of prices and wages. Hence, the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) reacts to inflation’s direct effects by tightening the monetary policy in order to avoid any second-round effects. The study we ... see more

Objective: The purpose of this study is to develop a toolkit that allows you to effectively predict the decision of the Central Bank to change the key rate.Methods: Using the methods of correlation analysis and multiple linear regression, a model has been... see more

In this comment on David I. Fand’s “High Interest Rates and Inflation in the U.S.: Cause or Effect”, the author argues that it is difficult to accept Fand’s explanation of the role of expectations with regard to interest rate changes, especially in light ... see more

There is no consensus over the importance of “global forces” on inflation. This study explores the role of structural breaks in the inflation process, and their timing, whether it is common across countries, and the extent to which ‘global forces’ are rel... see more

This work aims to establish if the unemployment rate in Colombia is determined by expected inflation and the rate of economic growth, between 2001 and 2009, assuming that economic agents have adaptive expectations, in order to determine if there is a cont... see more

In this brief note the author responds to J.L. Lucia’s criticism regarding the role of expectations in analysing the interest rate escalation in the U.S. in the latter half of the 1960s. JEL: E31, E43

The paper analyses three related aspects of the U.S. interest rate experience in the 1960s: the underlying factors responsible for the extraordinary rise in interest rates in the 1960s, the stickiness of long rates during the 1969-1970 recession and its r... see more

Informed inflation expectations facilitate the extemporisation of a proper monetary policy framework that allows for the achievement of economic objectives, among them price stability. This study used the vector autoregression model to assess the impact o... see more

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