Home  /  Entropy  /  Vol: 19 Núm: 10 Par: October (2017)  /  Article
ARTICLE
TITLE

Risk Assessment and Decision-Making under Uncertainty in Tunnel and Underground Engineering

SUMMARY

The impact of uncertainty on risk assessment and decision-making is increasingly being prioritized, especially for large geotechnical projects such as tunnels, where uncertainty is often the main source of risk. Epistemic uncertainty, which can be reduced, is the focus of attention. In this study, the existing entropy-risk decision model is first discussed and analyzed, and its deficiencies are improved upon and overcome. Then, this study addresses the fact that existing studies only consider parameter uncertainty and ignore the influence of the model uncertainty. Here, focus is on the issue of model uncertainty and differences in risk consciousness with different decision-makers. The utility theory is introduced in the model. Finally, a risk decision model is proposed based on the sensitivity analysis and the tolerance cost, which can improve decision-making efficiency. This research can provide guidance or reference for the evaluation and decision-making of complex systems engineering problems, and indicate a direction for further research of risk assessment and decision-making issues.

 Articles related

Aulia Indar Ayuningtyas,Sjahrul Meizar Nasri    

Introduction: The work process of the Painting Area in a Manufacturing Company can pose a risk to physical and chemical health hazards for workers. Hazard analysis and identification, exposure assessment, and risk assessment  are, therefore, needed ... see more


Brittany Carter, James Bennett, Elric Sims    

Survey duration—the time it takes to complete a survey—affects response and completion rates. Estimated survey duration equations may be used to estimate survey duration, however, there are no studies assessing their use. The objective of this study is t... see more


Dimas Jouhari,Lino Meris Rahmanto,Renanto Handogo,Juwari Purwo Sutikno,Ari WidodoDOI: 10.12962/j23373539.v3i1.5546    

Keselamatan proses merupakan faktor utama yang sering dibahas oleh industri-industri kimia beberapa tahun terakhir ini. Salah satu metode semi-kuantitatif yang dapat digunakan untuk mengidentifikasi, menganalisis, dan menetapkan tingkat risiko bahaya yai... see more


Abdul Rahim Shar, 2.Ghulam Qadir Shar, 3.Shafi Muhammad Wassan, Wahid Bux Jatoi, Zubeda Bhatti, Mushatq Ali Jakhrani, Abida Ali Shar    

The current study was carried out for quantitative and risk assessment of cadmium (Cd) andarsenic (As) from Talukas Ghora Bari and Mirpur Sakro. The concentration of Cd was determinedusing Atomic Absorption Spectroscopy instrument. The As concentration w... see more


Estrategia de manejo imagenológico de la hipertensión portal pediátrica en Pinar del Río / A strategy for the imaging management of portal hypertension in pediatric ages. Pinar del RioEstrategia de manejo imagenológico de la hipertensión portal pediátrica en Pinar del Río / A strategy for the imaging management of portal hypertension in pediatric ages. Pinar del RioSe realizó una investigación de desarrollo-aplicada, exploratoria, descriptiva y transversal, basada en diagnóstico previo por una investigación que permitió caracterizar la hipertensión portal (HTP) pediátrica y establecer importantes aspectos clínico-imagenológicos de la enfermedad en Pinar del Río. Además se efectuó el análisis documental de diversos sistemas de manejo de esta patología, adaptándolos al territorio, el objetivo fue elaborar una estrategia de manejo imagenológico de la HTP pediátrica a partir de la propuesta de un sistema de manejo diagnóstico integral, dirigido al personal de la salud de la Atención Primaria y Secundaria, establecer categorías de riesgo de padecer la HTP, permitiendo evaluar adecuadamente el estado de estos pacientes, desarrollando acciones de salud preventivo curativas, de valor como indicador de pronóstico, creando los mecanismos para lograr la profilaxis y el diagnóstico precoz y de esa forma disminuir las tasas de incidencia, morbilidad y mortalidad de la HTP, el índice de complicaciones graves como el sangrado digestivo o la encefalopatía portal y elevar la calidad de vida de estos niños.Palabras clave: hipertensión portal-estrategia-salud infantil, HIPERTENSIÓN PORTAL/diagnóstico, SALUD INFANTIL/tendencias, IMAGENOLOGÍA.ABSTRACTA development-applied, exploratory, descriptive and cross-sectional research was conducted, based on the previous diagnosis of a research characterizing Portal Hypertension in Pediatric Ages (PHPA). This research established important clinical-imaging aspects of the disease in Pinar Rio. Besides; a documentary analysis about diverse systems in the management of this pathology was carried out adapting them for the territory. The purpose was to create a strategy for the imaging management of the PHPA starting from a proposal of a system to an integral diagnostic management, and targeted at Primary and Secondary Health Care personnel in order to establish the risk categories of suffering from this disease. It also allows, a proper assessment of these patients' status, the development of preventive, curative health actions, knowing the value as an indicator of prognosis, creating a mechanism to achieve the prophylaxis and the early diagnosis as ways to diminish PHPA incidence, morbidity and mortality rates as well as the rate of severe complications such as digestive bleeding or portal encephalopathy aimed at increasing the quality of life of these children.Key words: Portal hypertension/strategy/diagnosis, Children health/trends, Imaging.

Lourdes Milagros Reyes Puentes,Maiteé Cabrera Hernández,Emilio Rodríguez Ramírez,Teresa Reyes Puentes    

ABSTRACTA development-applied, exploratory, descriptive and cross-sectional research was conducted, based on the previous diagnosis of a research characterizing Portal Hypertension in Pediatric Ages (PHPA). This research established important clinical-im... see more