ARTICLE
TITLE

Sætter økonomiske kriser mainstream tænkningen under pres?

SUMMARY

Som alle andre fag har økonomi også sin udviklingshistorie. Gennem tiderne har der stort set altid eksisteret en mainstream tænkning, som var den dominerende teoriretning. Og også stort set altid har der været kritiske røster mod den herskende mainstream, som i et eller andet omfang forsøgte at sætte et mere eller mindre helstøbt alternativ op imod den herskende teoretiske forståelsesramme. I mere moderne tid ligger det lige for at nævne den keynesianske revolution, som tilbød en forklaring af, hvorfor og hvordan en moderne monetær produktionsøkonomi kunne befinde sig væsentligt uden for den optimale makroøkonomiske situation med fuld beskæftigelse i både omfang og tidsmæssig udstrækning. Så i dette tilfælde fremkaldte den økonomiske krise et skifte i den økonomiske fokusering og forståelse. Med den fortsat igangværende økonomiske krise, som for alvor tog fat i 2008, er der på ny givet ammunition til en øget kritik af den moderne makroøkonomiske mainstream. Spørgsmålet er så blot det, om denne krise, ligesom tilfældet var i midten af 1930’erne, på ny kan fremkalde et nyt makroteoretisk paradigme til erstatning af den såkaldte ’New Neoclassical Synthesis’. Eller er det snarere sådan, at den nuværende krise blot fremkalder en eller anden form for revision af den herskende makroteori.How important are economic crisis in making a revolution in economic thinking?As a consequence of The Great Depression in the 1930s, the mainstream economic understanding was seriously challenged by empirical facts, theoretically as well as methodologically. As such, The Great Depression gave way to what latter on become termed the Keynesian Revolution which for decades came to dominate the scene of macroeconomics.Later on, the understanding of macroeconomics once again became classical in its core contents.Today, modern macroeconomic mainstream is characterised and benchmarked by the use of DSGE models. Due to the present economic crisis of resent years – the Great Recession – the mainstream macroeconomic understanding is once again challenged (both theoretically as methodologically). However, although acknowledging the importance of many critical contributions made by for instance Post Keynesians, is it debatable if the critic and the present economic crisis will launch the making of a new revolution in macroeconomics, as was the case in the 1930s.

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