ARTICLE
TITLE

Constrained multinomial Probit route choice modeling for passengers in large-scaled metro networks in China

SUMMARY

Considering that a large scaled metro network provides the opportunity of multiple route choice, it is necessary to consider integrating the impacts of routes set and the interdependency among alternative routes on route choice probability into route choice modeling. Therefore, a constrained multinomial probit (CMNP) route choice model in the large scaled metro network is proposed in this paper. The utility function is formulated to be composed of the following three components: the compensatory component is a linear function of level of service variables and route direction measurement, such as in-vehicle travel time, number of transfers, transfer time, congestion level and revised angular cost; the non-compensatory component represented by the logarithm function of a binary probit equation denoting the relationship between the constrained attributes and the corresponding thresholds measures the impact of considered probability of one route on the route’s utility; following a multivariate normal distribution, the covariance of the error component is structured into two parts, that is, the part measuring the correlation among routes, and the part denoting the unobserved variance distributed independently by route. Based on the surveyed revealed preference data in the Guangzhou Metro system, the estimations show that the proposed CMNP model shows the superiority of goodness- of-fit to data over traditional models. Meanwhile, the results also indicate that the non-compensatory component in the CMNP model works well to explain the impact of routes set on route choice probability.

 Articles related

Bingrong Sun, Byungkyu Brian Park    

This paper aims at exploring the possibility of utilizing Support Vector Machine (SVM) to establish route choice model. A widely used non-parametric modelling approach, Neural Network, was used to compare with SVM. A stated preferences survey was conduct... see more


Seungjae Lee, Benjamin G. Heydecker, Jooyoung Kim, Sangung Park    

Research on connected vehicle environment has been growing rapidly to investigate the effects of real-time exchange of kinetic information between vehicles and road condition information from the infrastructure through radio communication technologies. A... see more


Marco Rinaldi, Chris M.J. Tampère, Francesco Viti    

Explicitly including the dynamics of users’ route choice behaviour in optimal traffic control applications has been of interest for researchers in the last five decades. This has been recognized as a very challenging problem, due to the added layer of co... see more


Hongbo Ye, Feng Xiao, Hai Yang    

This paper examines existing day-to-day models based on a virtual day-to-day route choice experiment using the latest mobile internet techniques. With the realized day-to-day path flows and path travel times in the experiment, we calibrate several well-d... see more


Yang Liu, Yuanyuan Li, Lu Hu    

This paper examines commuters’ departure time and route choices in the morning commute problem when travel time is described as a bounded distributional uncertainty set. The preferences towards risk and ambiguity are distinguished by adopting the ambigui... see more