ARTICLE
TITLE

Petroleum Pump Price and Consumer Price Index in Nigeria: A case for or against Total Subsidy Removal – Panel Dynamic Analysis

SUMMARY

This study investigated the impact of petroleum pump price (PPP) on consumer price index (CPI) in Nigeria between 2000 and 2019, in order to have empirical support for or against total removal of subsidy on PPP. Three pump prices: prices of petrol, diesel and kerosene, were used to represent PPP. The economy was sub-divided into four: manufacturing; transportation; food; and domestic activities. Monthly Data were collected from both the NBS and CBN bulletins of different series. CPI was made the dependent variable and PPP, the independent variable. After the usual stationarity test, CPI was stationary at level while others were stationary at first difference. This informed the study to employ panel pooled mean/ARDL cointegration technique, which separated the impact into short and long run periods. Findings in the short run revealed that, the price of petrol had significant direct impact on consumer price in the short run. While these prices had no significant impact in the long run period, the price of kerosene indicated a significant inverse impact on consumer price in the short run but positive in the long-run. Results of cross-section short run coefficient revealed that prices of petrol and diesel had significant positive effect on manufacturing sector of the economy. The study, therefore suggests that, the government should remove subsidy totally on petrol and kerosene prices and reinvest the surplus into the economy, mostly in revamping the refineries. Also, Prices of alternative products to kerosene should remain stable to further reduce domestic use of kerosene in the economy.

 Articles related

Andryan Setyadharma    

One would believe that The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is certainly a cartel which curbs production in order to raise the price of its product as well as to share the market among its members. Did energy shock of the 1970’s engin... see more

Revista: KINERJA

Chekwube Vitus MADICHIE, Festus OSAGU, Eze Anoke EZE    

The sharp and continuous decline in crude oil prices since the mid-2014, along with the lackluster efforts at diversifying the sources of revenue and foreign exchange in the economy, incontrovertibly led to the recession that greeted Nigeria in the secon... see more


Noralv Veggeland    

RESEARCH OBJECTIVE: The systematic global market risk of the type found in the gigantic Norwegian Oil Fund, called “Government Pension Fund – Global (GPF-G),” is discussed at length in this study. The objective is to find out if the risk capital animate ... see more


Endang Setiasih,Rakhmat Priyono    

Basically, inflation constitutes a problem than solution because its impact to all economic conditions. Inflation phenomena in Purwokerto is necessary to research. Inflation in this region is more unstable than other cities. December 2008, even other cit... see more

Revista: Eko-Regional

Marendra Cahya Sadikin    

Abstract: Increased energy usage in line with economic growth and the increase in world populationhas an immediate impact for the depletion of fossil -based energy, especially petroleum. The fact thatworld oil supplies are limited, many states are forced... see more