ARTICLE
TITLE

Determinants of Stock Market Indices: An Analysis of Emerging Markets of Brazil, Mexico, Russia, and Turkey

SUMMARY

This paper investigates the dynamic relationship between the stock market index and a set of macroeconomic variables in four emerging countries. The dependent variable measures monthly stock exchange points of respective markets from January 2010 to March 2021. Independent variables consist of the 5-Year bond yields, CDS Premiums, VIX Futures, gold price, MSCI Emerging Market Index, and Oil Prices. Since the dependent and independent variables have a cointegrating relationship, we conducted our analyses in both the short and long term. Findings indicated that CDS premiums, oil and gold prices have a negative, while VIX and MSCI have a positive effect on the stock index in the long term. On the other hand, bond yields and the COVID-19 have a negative while MSCI has a positive effect in the short term. In addition, the long-term effects are much evident in Brazil and Russia. The speed of adjustment to the long-term equilibrium in the stock market index is much higher in Turkey and Mexico.

 Articles related

Akash Agarwal    

The current research work is an attempt to explore and identify the determinant ofdividend policy with special reference to manufacturing industry of India. For thispurpose, five key determinants have been identified based on the review of literature and... see more

Revista: GBAMS- Vidushi

Esy Nur Aisyah    

More disclosure can reduce agency costs incurred by the company. The more management (agent) reveal information about the company can reduce the conflict to shareholders (principal). Therfore, a voluntary disclosure more to minimize the occurence of ... see more

Revista: El Dinar