SUMMARY
Kryvorychko ?. ?., Goncharova N. M., Arsen?ev O. V. ????????????? ?????? ?????? ???????????? ????????? ??? ??????????? ???????????? ???????????? ?????? ???????? ???? = Forecasting method of choice of surgical intervention in complicated pancreatic pseudocysts third type. Journal of Education, Health and Sport. 2016;6(6):59-68. eISSN 2391-8306. DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.54600http://ojs.ukw.edu.pl/index.php/johs/article/view/3544 The journal has had 7 points in Ministry of Science and Higher Education parametric evaluation. Part B item 755 (23.12.2015).755 Journal of Education, Health and Sport eISSN 2391-8306 7© The Author (s) 2016;This article is published with open access at Licensee Open Journal Systems of Kazimierz Wielki University in Bydgoszcz, PolandOpen Access. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Noncommercial License which permits any noncommercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium,provided the original author(s) and source are credited. This is an open access article licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial License(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) which permits unrestricted, non commercial use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the work is properly cited.This is an open access article licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) which permits unrestricted, non commercialuse, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the work is properly cited.The authors declare that there is no conflict of interests regarding the publication of this paper.Received: 05.05.2016. Revised 25.05.2016. Accepted: 25.05.2016. ??? 616.37–006.2–036.17–073–074–089.87(043.3) ????????????? ?????? ?????? ???????????? ????????? ??? ??????????? ???????????? ???????????? ?????? ???????? ???? 1?. ?. ??????????, 1?. ?. ?????????, 2?. ?. ?????'?? 1 ??????????? ???????????? ???????? ??????????? ?? ???????, ?. ??????2 ??????????? ???????????? ?????????????? ???????????, ??????? ??????????????????, ?. ?????? ??????. ? ????? ?????????? ?????? ????? ??????, ?????????? ? ??????? ??????????? ?????????? ???????????? ?????? ???????? ???? ?? ????????????? D'Egidio A. ?? Schein M. (1991), ?????????????? ?????????? ??????????? ???????? 52 ?????????. ??? ??????????? ?? ????????????? ?????? ?????? ???????????? ????????? ????????????????? ????????????? ??????????? ??????: ?????????????? ?? ?????????? ?????????? ??????, ??????????????? ??????, ?????? ????????????. ????? ???? ???????? ? ?????????? ??? ?????????? ????????? ?????????? ???????????? ????????? «???????????????» ??????? ? ???????. ?????????? ??????????? ??? ?????????? ???????????? ?????? ???????? ???? ? ???????????? ??????????? ??????????? ??????????? 3 (?? 21 ?????-??? ??? ???????????????? ??????????) ??? ??????????? 1 (?? 14 ?????-??? ??? ???????????????? ??????????) ? ?????? ?????? ???????????. ??? ?????????? ?????????????? ???????? ??????????? ????????? 1 (?? 14 ?????-??? ??? ???????????????? ??????????) ??? 3 (?? 21 ?????-??? ??? ???????????????? ??????????), ? ??? ???? ??????? ???????????. ????? ?????, ??? ????????? ??????????? ?????????? ???????????? ?????? ???????? ???? ???????? ????????? ? ???????????? ?????????????? ???????.??????? ?????: ?????????? ??????????? ???????????? ??????, ???????, ??????????? ??????, ????????????? ?????????, ??????????? ?????????. Forecasting method of choice of surgical intervention in complicated pancreatic pseudocysts third type 1 ?. ?. Kryvorychko, 1 N. M. Goncharova, 2 O. V. Arsen?ev 1 Kharkiv national medical university, Kharkiv2 Kharkiv National University of Pharmacy, Department of pharmacoinformatics, Kharkiv Summary. In order to improve the quality of life of patients operated on for complicated pancreatic pseudocysts third type according to the classification D'Egidio A. and Schein M. (1991), analyzed the results of 52 surgical patients. For the simulation and prediction of the selection method of surgical treatment used multivariate statistical techniques: agglomerative and cluster analysis, discriminant analysis, classification trees. Choosing the type of surgery, depending on the outcome of treatment is determined by the maximum value of "qualification" in the column functions. Carrying laparotomy for pancreatic pseudocysts third type with maximum probability end result of 3 (up to 21 beds a day without postoperative complications), or the result of 1 (up to 14 beds a day without postoperative complications), three times less likely. During the minimally invasive operations of typical result 1 (up to 14 days without a bed after surgical complications) or 3 (up to 21 beds a day without postoperative complications), twice as less likely. Thus, for the treatment of complicated pancreatic pseudocysts third type most rational use of minimally invasive techniques. Keywords: complicated pancreatic pseudocyst, forecast, statistical methods, minimally invasive intervention, laparotomic intervention. ??????????????? ?????? ?????? ???????????? ????????????? ??? ??????????? ???????????? ????????????? ?????? ???????? ???? 1 ?. ?. ??????????, 1 ?. ?. ?????????, 2 ?. ?. ???????? 1 ??????????? ???????????? ??????????? ??????????? ?? ???????, ?. ???????2 ??????????? ???????????? ???????????????? ??????????, ??????? ??????????????????, ?. ??????? ??????. ? ????? ????????? ???????? ????? ???????, ????????????? ?? ?????? ??????????? ?????????? ????????????? ?????? ???????? ???? ???????? ????????????? D'Egidio A. ? Schein M. (1991), ???????????????? ?????????? ????????????? ???????????? 52 ?????????. ??? ????????????? ? ??????????????? ?????? ?????? ?????????????? ??????? ?????????????? ??????????? ?????????????? ??????: ?????????????? ? ?????????? ?????????? ??????, ??????????????? ??????, ??????? ?????????????. ????? ???? ???????? ? ??????????? ?? ?????????? ??????? ??????????? ???????????? ????????? «????????????????» ??????? ? ???????. ?????????? ??????????? ??? ?????????? ????????????? ?????? ???????? ???? ? ???????????? ???????????? ??????????? ??????????? 3 (?? 21 ?????-??? ??? ????????????????? ??????????) ??? ??????????? 1 (?? 14 ?????-??? ??? ????????????????? ??????????) ????? ? ??????? ????????????. ??? ?????????? ?????????????? ???????? ??????????? ????????? 1 (?? 14 ?????-???? ??? ????????????????? ??????????) ??? 3 (?? 21 ?????-??? ??? ????????????????? ??????????), ? ??? ???? ? ??????? ????????????. ????? ???????, ??? ??????? ??????????? ?????????? ????????????? ?????? ???????? ???? ???????? ??????????? ????????????? ?????????????? ???????. ???????? ?????: ??????????? ??????????? ????????????? ??????, ???????, ?????????????? ??????, ?????????????? ?????????????, ???????????? ?????????????.