Surgimiento y desarrollo del método Delphi: una perspectiva cienciométrica

Autores/as

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5195/biblios.2018.470

Palabras clave:

Cienciometría, Método Delphi, Producción científica, Scopus, Técnica Delphi

Resumen

El presente trabajo tiene como objetivo caracterizar el desarrollo del método Delphi, a partir de indicadores cienciométricos relacionados con publicaciones de elevados índices de calidad. A partir de una búsqueda automatizada en Scopus se conforma una base de datos de 10341 documentos, registrados desde 1969. Como principales resultados, se observa un crecimiento acelerado de la actividad científico-técnica relacionada con este método, se constata el impacto de los documentos publicados en una amplia heterogeneidad de campos del conocimiento científico, se identifican colegios invisibles determinados por complejas redes de colaboración científica, y también se exploran nuevas áreas y tendencias de desarrollo. Aunque la marcada variedad de terminologías afines al método Delphi obstaculizan el procesamiento de la información, se concluye que las técnicas cienciométricas son efectivas para caracterizar el desarrollo de este método, incluso más allá del marco de la prospectiva.

Biografía del autor/a

Miguel Cruz Ramírez, Universidad de Holguín - UHO

Doctor en ciencias pedagógicas y profesor titular de la Universidad de Holguín (Cuba). Vicerrector de Investigación y Posgrado. Miembro de la Junta Directiva Nacional de la Sociedad Cubana de Matemática y Computación. Sus intereses científicos están relacionados con la estadística aplicada a la cienciometría y a las investigaciones sociales.

José Alberto Rúa Vásquez, Universidad de Medellín - UDEM

Decano de la Facultad de Ciencias Básicas de la Universidad de Medellín (Colombia). Director del Proyecto Institucional Permanencia con Calidad. Coordinador General del Proyecto “Polya”. Matemático por la Universidad de Antioquia y máster en educación por la Pontificia Universidad Javeriana.

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2018-07-02

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Cruz Ramírez, M., & Rúa Vásquez, J. A. (2018). Surgimiento y desarrollo del método Delphi: una perspectiva cienciométrica. Biblios Journal of Librarianship and Information Science, (71), 90–107. https://doi.org/10.5195/biblios.2018.470

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