Harmoni dan Tantangan Investasi Melalui Dinamika Harga Saham Berdasarkan BI Rate, Inflasi, Nilai Tukar, dan Harga Minyak Dunia Periode 2014-2021

  • Michael Tirta Universitas Surabaya
  • Joshi Maharani Wibowo Universitas Surabaya
  • Idfi Setyaningrum Universitas Surabaya
  • Reza Ainul Yaqin Universitas Surabaya

Abstract

Investment is synonymous with the activity of placing funds in the current period with the expectation of gaining profits in the future, one of which is through the capital market. One intriguing investment activity is Shariah-compliant investment, not limited solely to Muslims; even non-Muslims are interested in investing due to its principled process, providing a sense of tranquility, and enhancing confidence in transactions deemed halal. The determination of Shariah-compliant investments is undoubtedly influenced by macroeconomic factors. Therefore, it is crucial to examine how the BI rate, inflation, exchange rate, and oil prices affect Shariah stock prices. The method employed is explanatory through a multiple regression model with secondary data from the period 2014 to 2021. This study found that the BI rate and oil prices have an impact on Shariah stock prices. A high BI rate can make interest-based investment instruments more attractive than Shariah stocks, resulting in a shift of funds from the stock market to other financial instruments. Meanwhile, oil prices will affect the performance of companies, especially in the energy sector, such as production costs, transportation costs, and other expenses that use energy as a component of their activities.

References

Al Ghifari, R. A., Kristianingsih, K., & Tamara, D. A. D. (2021). Analisis Pengaruh Variabel Makroekonomi Terhadap Jakarta Islamic Index. Journal of Applied Islamic Economics and Finance, 2(1), 75–83. https://doi.org/10.35313/jaief.v2i1.2871
Asmara, I. P. W. P., & Suarjaya, A. A. G. (2018). Pengaruh Variabel Makro Ekonomi Terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan. E-Jurnal Manajemen Unud, 7(3), 1397–1425. https://doi.org/10.29244/jam.4.2.76-96
Bala, U., & Chin, L. (2018). Asymmetric impacts of oil price on inflation: An empirical study of African OPEC member countries. Energies, 11(11). https://doi.org/10.3390/en11113017
Cakti, G. A. (2014). Saham Syariah (30/09/2014): Indeks JII Turun 0,59%. Bisnis.Com. https://market.bisnis.com/read/20140930/7/261099/saham-syariah-3092014-indeks-jii-turun-059
Chakimatuzzahroh, & Witiastuti, R. S. (2018). Pull Factor and Push Factor Influences on the Volatility of Foreign Investment Flows in Indonesian Capital Market. Management Analysis Journal, 7(2), 231–243.
Ciner, C., Gurdgiev, C., & Lucey, B. M. (2013). Hedges and safe havens: An examination of stocks, bonds, gold, oil and exchange rates. International Review of Financial Analysis, 29, 202–211. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2012.12.001
Danur, D. N., & Ahwal, H. (2020). Analysis Of Islamic Stock Price Indexs In Indonesia. Hukum Islam, 20(2), 239–254.
Diela, T. (2014). BI: Sepanjang 2014 Ekonomi Indonesia Melambat tetapi... Kompas. https://money.kompas.com/read/2014/11/20/235805626/BI.Sepanjang.2014.Ekonomi.Indonesia.Melambat.tetapi.
Hanoeboen, B. R. (2017). Analisis Pengaruh Harga Minyak Dunia, Nilai Tukar Rupiah, Inflasi dan Suku Bunga SBI terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG). Jurnal Cita Ekonomika, XI(1), 1–6.
Idris, M. (2020). Harga Minyak Minus Karena Corona, Terendah Sepanjang Sejarah. Kompas. https://money.kompas.com/read/2020/04/21/070501826/harga-minyak-minus-karena-corona-terendah-sepanjang-sejarah?page=all
Kamal, M., Kasmawati, Rodi, Thamrin, H., & Iskandar. (2021). Pengaruh Tingkat Inflasi Dan Nilai Tukar (Nilai tukar) Rupiah Terhadap Indeks Saham Syariah Indonesia (Issi). Jurnal Tabarru’: Islamic Banking and Finance, 4(2), 521–531. https://doi.org/10.25299/jtb.2021.vol4(2).8310
Khairulanam, P. A., Parno, Pratiwi, A., & Parlina, T. (2021). Pengaruh Nilai Tukar Rupiah Terhadap Indeks Saham Syariah Indonesia Periode 2018-2020. AGHNIYA: Jurnal Ekonomi Islam, 3(1), 49–66. https://doi.org/10.30596/aghniya.v3i1.5844
Kumar, K. K., & Sahu, B. (2017). Dynamic Linkages Between Macroeconomic Factors and Islamic Stock Indices in a Non-Islamic Country India. The Journal of Developing Areas, 51(1), 193–205. https://doi.org/10.1353/jda.2017.0011
Muliana, V. (2016). 7 Pasar Modal Terbesar di Indonesia. Liputan6. https://www.liputan6.com/bisnis/read/2557953/7-pasar-modal-terbesar-di-dunia
Nawindra, I., & Wijayanto, A. (2020). The Influence of Macroeconomic Variables on The Indonesian Sharia Stock Index (ISSI) for The 2013-2019 Period. Management Analysis Journal, 9(4), 402–412. https://doi.org/10.15294/maj.v9i4.41875
Oktaviani, B. N., & Wijayanto, A. (2016). Aplikasi Single Index Model dalam Pembentukan Portofolio Optimal Saham LQ45 dan Jakarta Islamic Index. Management Analysis Journal, 5(3), 189–202.
Rachmawati, M., & Laila, N. (2015). Faktor Makroekonomi yang Mempengaruhi Pergerakan Harga Saham pada Indeks Saham Syariah Indonesia (ISSI) di Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI). JESTT, 2(11), 49–58.
Saputra, S. A., Gloria, C. M., & Asnaini, A. (2021). Pengaruh Inflasi, Nilai tukar, dan BI 7-Day Rate terhadap Indeks Saham Syariah Indonesia (ISSI) Periode 2015-2020. MALIA: Journal of Islamic Banking and Finance, 5(1), 57. https://doi.org/10.21043/malia.v5i1.9787
Setyani, O. (2017). Pengaruh Inflasi dan Nilai Tukar terhadap Indeks Saham Syariah Indonesia. 8(2), 213–238.
Suciningtias, S. A., & Khoiroh, R. (2015). Analisis Dampak Variabel Makro Ekonomi Terhadap Indeks Saham Syariah Indonesia. Conference in Business, Accounting, and Management (CBAM), 2(1), 398–412.
Tambunan, L. (2020). Ekonomi Pandemi: Harga Minyak Dunia Anjlok, Harga BBM dalam Negeri Belum Tentu Bisa Turun. BBC News Indonesia. https://www.bbc.com/indonesia/indonesia-52379031
Utama, O. Y., & Puryandani, S. (2020). The Effect of BI Rate, USD to IDR Exchange Rates, and Gold Price on Stock Returns Listed in the SRI KEHATI Index. Jurnal Dinamika Manajemen, 11(1), 39–47. https://doi.org/10.15294/jdm.v11i1.21207
Published
2024-01-07
Abstract viewed = 5 times
pdf downloaded = 7 times